Know Your Position before Market Closure
OptiMorrow delivers a day-ahead forecast of what your portfolio will consume and what your prosumers will generate. With both in one forecast, you trade on a sharper position and pay less in imbalance costs.
Where the Imbalance Bill Comes From
The position you take on the day-ahead market is only as good as the prediction behind it. Where the portfolio deviates from what you contracted, the difference settles as imbalance – and when imbalance charges spike, they settle expensively.
The component that moves the position most is distributed generation at your prosumer customers. It is weather-driven and outside your dispatch, which makes it the fastest route from prediction error to imbalance costs.
What Is OptiMorrow?
OptiMorrow is an energy demand forecasting tool for anyone carrying balancing responsibility for a retail portfolio. It delivers day-ahead consumption and generation predictions in 15-minute resolution and helps minimize imbalance costs.
Before market closure, you know what the portfolio will draw and what it will export.
How OptiMorrow Helps
Lower Imbalance Costs by up to 80%
Prosumer generation is the component that swings most and costs most when predicted wrong. Predicting it separately is where your costs drop.
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Trade with Confidence
Expected demand and export for every 15-minute interval of the next day, with the detail to see where the portfolio moves and when.
See Results within Months
Imbalance settles every period, so the effect of a sharper position shows up in your own figures within the first months.
Delivered as a Service
Predictions are produced, delivered, and monitored every day, including weekends and holidays. A missing or late prediction raises an alert, and data scientists review the predictions against the actuals that arrive later.
How OptiMorrow Works
Daily Workflow
You Provide the Data
Metered consumption and generation of your portfolio.
We Run OptiMorrow
In a cloud environment, combined with weather inputs.
You Receive the Result
Next-day predictions in 15-minute intervals for the whole portfolio, ready for scheduling and nomination.
Consumption
Total daily consumption and its intraday shape are predicted by two separate models and then combined, rather than predicting each 15-minute value on its own. Weather readings from several cities feed into both models.
Generation
Solar generation of prosumers in your portfolio is predicted by its own PV forecasting model, refitted every day on a trailing window of history.
Beyond the Standard Prediction
OptiMorrow can be configured for what your energy trading desk needs – intraday predictions, generation-only, or support for day-ahead and intraday bidding.
Premium Prediction Service
Some days carry more risk than others. Step changes in the portfolio on January 1, Easter, Christmas, and other non-standard periods follow different consumption patterns. For these, the Premium Prediction Service extends the horizon to three days ahead, and one of our data scientists validates each prediction by hand.
Part of Your ETRM Stack
Prediction is one part of energy trading and risk management. Where your operation needs more – long-term portfolio prediction for forward markets, or support for automated trading – we extend the solution to fit.
More Predictions We Can Add
Forward Predictions
Long-term consumption prediction for your whole customer portfolio, including expected renewals and churn, broken down into monthly, base, and peak profiles. You can buy volume ahead on the forward market when prices are favorable.
Intraday Predictions
Continuously updated 15-minute predictions of your portfolio’s consumption and customer solar generation, so your traders can fine-tune positions on the intraday market and keep imbalance costs low.
Price Predictions
Hourly price forward curve and spot price predictions that help you price customer offers for each customer’s load shape, value PV buyback, support dynamic tariffs, and time purchases.
Gas Demand Predictions
Temperature-driven consumption predictions for your gas customer portfolio, so you can plan long-term gas purchasing, submit accurate daily nominations, and avoid gas imbalance costs.
CHP Optimization
A prediction-based production schedule for cogeneration units. It weighs electricity prices against gas and CO₂ costs while meeting heat demand, so the unit runs in the most profitable hours.
Start with a Pilot Project
Share a sample of your historical portfolio data and your imbalance metrics. We run OptiMorrow over it and come back with a report showing our predictions and what they would have meant for your trading performance.